Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds. My best bet: Broncos team total Under 21.5 ( -114 at FanDuel) While the future of coach Bill Belichick is cloudy, I don't doubt that he can still scheme something up to limit an inconsistent Denver offense in a cold weather game. Denver is 22nd in the league in red zone conversion rate and 20th in third-down percentage, which is bad news against a Pats defense that ranks sixth in the league in red zone defense and does a good job of forcing third and long situations.ĭespite losing key players like Matthew Judon, Christian Gonzalez, and Marcus Jones to long-term injuries, New England's stop unit has remained stout and holds opponents to just 4.8 yards per play - the fifth-lowest number in the league. The Broncos have been held to 17 points in two of their last three games, despite facing subpar defenses during that span. Prior to that clash with the Chiefs, they hadn't allowed more than 20 points in each of their previous five contests, limiting foes to just 12.8 points per game during that span. However, it's worth noting that they faced the almost unstoppable Patrick Mahomes and managed to limit KC to just 43 rushing yards on 20 carries. The Patriots are fresh off a match where they allowed 27 points to the Chiefs. That plays right into the hands of a New England Patriots stop unit that leads the NFL in defensive rush EPA and success rate. The Denver Broncos already run the ball at the sixth-highest rate in the league and they could lean on their ground game even more in this one. A cold weather Christmas Eve game in the Mile High City sounds like a recipe for plenty of running by both sides.

While there isn't expected to be any snowfall during the game and winds shouldn't be extreme, temperatures will still be well below freezing on Sunday. You can also check out our SNF player prop picks for more great bets! Patriots vs Broncos odds Here are my best free NFL picks for Patriots vs. Week 16 odds have the Broncos installed as 7-point home favorites, with the Over/Under listed at 35.5 for this Sunday Night Football clash.

When Santa and his sleigh swing by Denver this Christmas Eve, the struggling Patriots will be hoping he drops off a franchise quarterback in next year's draft, while the 7-7 Broncos have visions of the playoffs dancing in their heads. The New England Patriots head to Empower Field at Mile High to face the Denver Broncos in the latest SNF odds.

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